All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Pioneer Invitational |
Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Evansville City Meet |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/13 |
8/19 |
8/22 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
Team Rating |
349 |
353 |
348 |
396 |
304 |
446 |
433 |
376 |
434 |
328 |
378 |
411 |
351 |
380 |
Team Adjusted Rating | |
353 |
348 |
396 |
304 |
446 |
357 |
376 |
307 |
328 |
378 |
332 |
349 |
379 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Pioneer Invitational |
Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Evansville City Meet |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
60 |
Presley Warren |
12 |
19:23 |
19:13 |
19:19 |
19:30 |
18:52 |
19:13 |
|
19:42 |
|
19:16 |
19:42 |
19:22 |
19:24 |
19:26 |
64 |
Clare Vogel |
10 |
19:24 |
18:54 |
18:57 |
19:33 |
18:58 |
19:32 |
19:25 |
19:28 |
|
19:22 |
19:13 |
|
19:37 |
19:57 |
208 |
Allison Morphew |
10 |
20:21 |
21:24 |
21:06 |
21:47 |
20:48 |
21:20 |
20:38 |
20:29 |
20:18 |
20:19 |
20:50 |
20:23 |
20:27 |
20:12 |
305 |
Ah'tahja Hooper |
12 |
20:42 |
21:21 |
21:18 |
20:46 |
20:48 |
21:19 |
20:53 |
20:57 |
20:28 |
20:47 |
20:32 |
20:35 |
20:27 |
20:53 |
386 |
Claire Sievern |
11 |
21:00 |
20:25 |
20:15 |
22:07 |
20:10 |
21:03 |
20:42 |
21:48 |
|
20:49 |
22:15 |
20:49 |
|
|
427 |
Carlie Elpers |
12 |
21:08 |
21:23 |
21:06 |
20:55 |
20:52 |
21:27 |
|
20:50 |
20:46 |
21:07 |
21:29 |
21:15 |
21:12 |
21:09 |
434 |
Izzy Haseman |
10 |
21:09 |
21:23 |
|
21:31 |
21:58 |
21:56 |
21:01 |
21:20 |
20:32 |
20:42 |
21:07 |
21:05 |
21:18 |
21:01 |
468 |
Rachel Delancey |
11 |
21:15 |
20:43 |
20:57 |
21:24 |
21:33 |
21:33 |
21:17 |
21:26 |
20:51 |
21:23 |
|
21:12 |
21:03 |
21:24 |
508 |
Blank Haseman |
9 |
21:20 |
|
21:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
608 |
Addie Schnautz |
11 |
21:38 |
|
21:16 |
21:02 |
21:03 |
|
21:13 |
23:03 |
|
22:18 |
|
|
|
|
947 |
Taylor Gries |
10 |
22:29 |
22:51 |
23:13 |
22:42 |
22:45 |
22:42 |
22:19 |
22:46 |
21:40 |
22:06 |
|
|
|
|
1,098 |
Kate Kinkel |
10 |
22:52 |
|
23:21 |
22:47 |
23:04 |
22:45 |
22:45 |
23:10 |
24:16 |
22:35 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
100% |
19.9 |
459 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
7.0 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
11.1 |
13.8 |
13.7 |
12.6 |
9.5 |
Semi-State |
100% |
4.8 |
151 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
5.8 |
32.2 |
40.3 |
20.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
35 |
100.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
27 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Presley Warren |
100% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
96.9% |
Clare Vogel |
100% |
63.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
94.9% |
Allison Morphew |
100% |
146.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.6% |
Ah'tahja Hooper |
100% |
171.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
Claire Sievern |
100% |
186.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Carlie Elpers |
100% |
191.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Izzy Haseman |
100% |
192.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Presley Warren |
100% |
9.8 |
|
1.0 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
8.7 |
7.2 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
Clare Vogel |
100% |
10.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.9 |
6.1 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
Allison Morphew |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
Ah'tahja Hooper |
100% |
53.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Claire Sievern |
100% |
65.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Carlie Elpers |
100% |
70.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Izzy Haseman |
100% |
71.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Presley Warren |
100% |
2.6 |
4.3 |
29.4 |
28.4 |
18.5 |
10.4 |
6.3 |
2.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Clare Vogel |
100% |
2.7 |
4.4 |
25.5 |
27.7 |
18.7 |
13.3 |
6.7 |
3.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Allison Morphew |
100% |
7.9 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
8.1 |
43.5 |
30.7 |
9.1 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Ah'tahja Hooper |
100% |
9.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
18.1 |
29.9 |
15.6 |
10.0 |
9.0 |
5.4 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Claire Sievern |
100% |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.4 |
5.3 |
11.2 |
12.3 |
9.9 |
11.9 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
9.7 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
3.2 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Carlie Elpers |
100% |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
10.1 |
12.1 |
10.6 |
12.9 |
9.5 |
7.1 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Izzy Haseman |
100% |
16.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.7 |
4.1 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
11.5 |
12.0 |
10.0 |
5.1 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Presley Warren |
1.5 |
33.9 |
31.3 |
18.3 |
11.2 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Clare Vogel |
1.7 |
28.1 |
30.8 |
19.5 |
14.8 |
6.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allison Morphew |
5.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
4.5 |
81.5 |
11.3 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ah'tahja Hooper |
6.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
8.5 |
55.9 |
22.1 |
8.6 |
3.2 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Claire Sievern |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
7.5 |
24.1 |
23.8 |
18.3 |
13.0 |
7.7 |
4.3 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carlie Elpers |
10.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
2.8 |
10.3 |
17.8 |
19.9 |
18.5 |
14.9 |
11.4 |
3.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Izzy Haseman |
10.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
9.5 |
14.1 |
18.6 |
19.9 |
17.7 |
12.8 |
4.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|